India's TV industry is relatively
          
        
        
          
            young – what are the challenges?
          
        
        
          The broadcast industry in India is
        
        
          just about coming of age. Absence
        
        
          of sustainable varied revenue
        
        
          models has been a challenge with
        
        
          the industry being largely
        
        
          advertising supported so far.
        
        
          Inadequacies in the measurement
        
        
          system coupled with ballooning
        
        
          creation of additional advertising
        
        
          inventory in the last few years has
        
        
          ensured that TV is an underpriced
        
        
          medium for advertisers. The total
        
        
          number of channels increased from
        
        
          623 in 2011 to 845 in 2012.
        
        
          Diversification of revenue
        
        
          streams is a must for sustaining the
        
        
          future growth in the TV industry.
        
        
          The heralding in of digitisation and
        
        
          subsequent addressability in
        
        
          distribution should open up
        
        
          additional revenue sources and
        
        
          make more business models viable.
        
        
          Pricing at the consumer level is
        
        
          also another challenge with the
        
        
          consumer having been brought up
        
        
          on ridiculously low cost of TV
        
        
          access and high price sensitivity.
        
        
          Moreover, in the DAS regime the
        
        
          government is regulating the retail
        
        
          pricing and the revenue share
        
        
          arrangements in the broadcast
        
        
          delivery chain. Growing
        
        
          subscription revenue and
        
        
          establishing additional content
        
        
          monetisation streams like
        
        
          syndication, digital platforms, etc.
        
        
          will be a key focus area for the
        
        
          industry.
        
        
          However, with a population of
        
        
          1.2bn and a TV penetration of 730m
        
        
          there is still a large growth
        
        
          opportunity to be exploited. Even
        
        
          within the currently penetrated
        
        
          population there is a lot of scope for
        
        
          growth with TV viewing time in
        
        
          India averaging a little over 150
        
        
          minutes per day as compared to
        
        
          developed markets like the US
        
        
          where it is in excess of 300 minutes
        
        
          per day.
        
        
          
            What is the outlook overall?
          
        
        
          Looking at India, we need to
        
        
          understand the various media
        
        
          landscapes within the country: (1)
        
        
          Urban and largely metro in
        
        
          orientation, with digitisation now
        
        
          seeded and cable and DTH
        
        
          competing effectively; (2) Mid‐
        
        
          urban / semi‐rural, where
        
        
          digitisation will seed in 2014 and
        
        
          develop the geography; (3) Rural,
        
        
          with larger DTH penetration and
        
        
          public broadcaster penetration; (4)
        
        
          Homes without TV (100m) – the
        
        
          growth engine of the future, which
        
        
          will enable India to be as large as
        
        
          China in terms of TV homes; (5) As
        
        
          3G and 4G services become
        
        
          effective, stored content and live
        
        
          content on OTT will enable growth
        
        
          of audio‐visual viewing.
        
        
          Digitisation is stimulating access
        
        
          to niche and defined content. Over
        
        
          time, as subscriber transparency
        
        
          sets in, revenues will grow for
        
        
          broadcasters and enable more
        
        
          content creators to be pay. In the
        
        
          medium term the difference
        
        
          between free and pay services will
        
        
          get more sharply defined. DTH and
        
        
          cable will compete effectively.
        
        
          There is anticipated integration or
        
        
          consolidation in cable. With many
        
        
          MSOs now spreading their foot
        
        
          print over digitised markets, the
        
        
          focus for both platforms will be
        
        
          packaging and service levels. The
        
        
          industry anticipates regulation will
        
        
          change in terms of bundling,
        
        
          pricing and aggregation. This will
        
        
          create challenges for content
        
        
          creators as they would want their
        
        
          brands to be picked in as many
        
        
          homes as possible.
        
        
          According to FICCI‐KPMG, the
        
        
          total number of TV households is
        
        
          estimated at 154m in 2012 and
        
        
          projected to grow to 191m in 2017.
        
        
          Paid C&S penetration estimated at
        
        
          79% in 2012 is projected to grow to
        
        
          91% in 2017.
        
        
          And yet in a country of 234m
        
        
          households that still leaves ample
        
        
          room for growth. The digital
        
        
          transformation of the industry is
        
        
          gathering pace. The FICCI‐KPMG
        
        
          report estimates cable ARPUs to
        
        
          grow from Rs. 166 in 2012 to Rs. 289
        
        
          in 2017 while DTH ARPUs are
        
        
          projected to increase from Rs. 170
        
        
          to Rs. 293 in the same period.
        
        
          
            Your advice to foreign players?
          
        
        
          There is a tectonic shift taking place
        
        
          on the affiliate and TV penetration
        
        
          side of the business and this will
        
        
          open up even more opportunities
        
        
          in the sector by making multiple
        
        
          business models viable. The
        
        
          regulatory environment is very
        
        
          liberalised and industry bodies like
        
        
          the Indian Broadcasters Federation
        
        
          and the News Broadcasters
        
        
          Association are extremely active in
        
        
          shaping the future growth of the
        
        
          industry. All in all it is a sector that
        
        
          is poised for tremendous growth.
        
        
          
            Sunil Lulla, thank you.
          
        
        
          THE CHANNEL
        
        
          |
        
        
          ISSUE 1 2014
        
        
          |
        
        
          49
        
        
          ▼
        
        
          ET NOW
        
        
          anchors Niraj
        
        
          Shah, Tanvir Gill,
        
        
          Nikunj Dalmia
        
        
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          Deepika
        
        
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          Editor-in-Chief
        
        
          Arnab Goswami